* Hyperforecasting © is a fully protected name and process pending registration. The term Hyperforecasting © is also copyrighted and registered in multiple jurisdictions. The name and it’s processes may be not used without written permission.
Michel de Nostredame
In ancient times, an Oracle or a Seer was someone whose counsel was sought by others as the Seers/Oracle provided wise and insightful predictions of the future. Forecasting was the future was considered a divine faculty as we barely understood the functioning of human mind and brain. Michel de Nostredame also known as Nostradamus, a physician by profession in France, was one such well known and reputed Oracle. His book Les Propheties, first printed in 1555, has since been printed almost every two years. Many credit him with predicting with some accuracy some milestone global events. His critics claim that his predictions were nothing more than garbled semantics which were twisted into events to match the world events.
Our premise is that both his followers and critics were correct in their interpretation of forecasting skills. Out of the many forecasting methods, Genius Forecasting was consider an Intuitive ability. Intuition was considered magical by some while mundane by the scientists. There were no known methods of improving Intuitive Judgement as well as measuring accuracy. Intuitive Judgement when translated into language created so many diverse meanings that the critics also had reasonable claims. Words and Semantics have the ability to twist meanings in any direction. Hyperforecasting is the ability to use our massively parallel biological neural networks to make accurate Intuitive Judgement after being tempered with peripheral data.
Forecasting and predicting the future is a challenging skill ridden with Judgment Errors regarding accuracy and timeliness. Intuitive Forecasting a.k.a Genius Forecasting a.k.a Hyperforecasting has been viewed with significant doubt by the scientific community. Most of the forecasting methods utilized today are termed Expert Forecasting. However, Genius forecasting has resulted in more accurate forecasts and predictions than expert forecasting. Recent research has indicated that smart people or subject matter experts are not any better at forecasting due to steep gradient buildup of inherent cognitive biases. Cognitive Biases are fairly easy to acquire, but, extremely challenging to relinquish. Expert Forecasting is a set of steps which can be taught to anyone read to learn. However, most of us fail to realize that after carrying out all the data based futures modeling, experts rely on their intuitive judgment. Learn how to make accurate intuitive judgement is not an easily transferable skill. As a matter of errors in judgement are known to be the weak link in performance across all contexts.
After more than a decade of hibernation and quietly testing the ability in multiple contexts, we have developed an accurate framework on how experts can generate accurate intuitive forecasts easily and measurably. For the very first time, we have been able to unlock and model the functioning of our extremely powerful Biological Neural Networks (BNN’s) to generate accurate intuitive forecasts. The process has built in measurable to avoid error attribution.
Few know that human brain is a natural prediction mechanism which evolved over centuries into a powerful linear and non-linear pattern recognition biological equipment. The skill to accurately forecast and predict the immediate and long-term future is riddled with challenges as one requires an optimal utilization of our intuitive and rational mind working in a concert with each other, incrementally improving judgement, assertion, and decision making. Experts who claim to be experts rarely understand the difference between knowledge acquisition and intuitive capability. As a result, experts may propagate significant intuitive errors over their lifespan. Intuitive expertise is extremely hard to develop and only top 1-2% high performers can claim to have intuitive expertise in a complex field such as forecasting. The most important factor in improving forecast and prediction is the ability to capture and develop Intuitive Foresight. Intuitive Foresight is a germ that has to be seeded and undergoes rapid iteration cycles till heuristics (direction of search) becomes more accurate.
Hyperforecasting © is the only training intervention which improves intuitive perception and judgement in chosen contexts within a range of significant statistical accuracy.
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